The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

The New Classical theorem asserts that (a) the individuals with rational expectations do not change their consumption levels unless the expected permanent income changes, and, (b), thusly, tax and/or debt policies are not significant on consumption decisions of the individuals, at least in the...

The aim of this study is to compare the ex post forecast accuracies of VAR, ARIMA, ES, Combining and Add-factor methods. In this comparison, the ex post forecasts of 2000:1-2000:4 are obtained by using the data of the Turkish private consumption for the period of 1987:1-1999:4. Beside private...

Fiyatlar kalabalıkların bilgeliğini mi, yoksa çılgınlığını mı yansıtır? Finansal krizlerin tarihine bakınca, varlık fiyatlarındaki rasyonel temellerden kopuk artışların pek de bilgelik eseri olmadığını düşünebiliriz. Finansal başarısızlık ve çöküş hikâyeleri;...

This study provides a general view for the propagation arising from global liquidity and examines some of the recent effects of it by using the daily Eurobond rates of some emerging market countries. The emprical analysis is based on the database which includes the daily EMBIG indices of Brazil,...

In this study, we examine whether the efficient market hypothesis is valid in the Istanbul Stock Exchange (ISE) via parametric and semi parametric long memory models. In order to determine the presence of weak form efficient market hypothesis, we consider 10 sector indices. Semi parametric and...

Sistematik risk olcutu olarak ifade edilen beta (ß) katsayisi, hisse senedinin getirisi ile pazar getirisi arasindaki iliskiyi gosterir. Bu calismanin amaci beta katsayisinin gelecekte ulasacagi degerin tahmin edilmesidir. Bu baglamda Istanbul Menkul Kiymetler Borsasi (IMKB)’nda islem goren...