Interest rate is one of the most observed and forecasted variables in financial markets. Interest rates and the volatility of interest rates play a crucial role in pricing financial instruments. In this empirical study, we try to investigate which short term interest rate model is appropriate...

This paper compares the ability of different market instruments in terms of predicting monetary policy decisions to find out which one best captures market participants policy expectations. Towards this end, policy rate expectations implied by various market instruments and different approaches...

Inflation compensation derived from nominal and real bond yields contains market based, real time information regarding the inflation expectations and the pricing of inflation risks. In this study, we calculate inflation compensation by estimating nominal and real yield curves for Turkish data....

Turkish Abstract: Bankaların ticari kredilere uyguladıkları faiz oranı artış eğilimi göstermektedir. Ticari kredi faizi 2018 Eylül'de %36'ya ulaşmış olup bu oran 2004'ten beri en görülen yüksek seviyedir. Ticari kredi faizi 2018 yılını ise %28 seviyesinde tamamlamıştır....

The primary goal of this study is to introduce monetary analysis for the Turkish economy in the light of empirical evidences that demonstrate the importance of this analysis for the economy. In the study we also focus on the implication of persistent money supply shocks, particularly shocks that...

Since two main principles of the monetary policy are credibility and transparency, central banks aim to develop long-run policies. However, contemporary monetary policy approach requires that central banks are responsible for developing short-run stability policies as well. Within this context,...

Türkiye'de son birkaç yıldır en çok tartışılan konulardan biri faiz oranı ile döviz kuru arasındaki ilişkidir. Bazı iktisatçılar döviz kurlarının uzun süredir yerinde saymasının nedenini faiz oranlarının yüksekliğine bağlamakta ve Merkez Bankası'nın kısa vadeli faiz...

In this study we attempt to shed some light on the theoretical and empirical discussions regarding the role of monetary aggregates in monetary policy formulations. We also assess the developments in the aftermath of the global financial crisis and emphasize the role of monetary aggregates in...

The aim of this study is to investigate the validity of McKinnon’s complementarity hypothesis that puts forward by McKinnon (1993) and Shaw (1973) for Turkish economy. In the analysis the method of Dynamic Ordinary Least Squares (DOLS) that developed by Stock and Watson (1993) and the...

Türkiye’de son birkaç yýldýr en çok tartýþýlan konulardan biri faiz oraný ile döviz kuru arasýndaki iliþkidir. Bazý iktisatçýlar döviz kurlarýnýn uzun süredir yerinde saymasýnýn nedenini faiz oranlarýnýn yüksekliðine baðlamakta ve Merkez Bankasý’nýn kýsa vadeli...