Turkish economy in the aftermath of the global crisis has faced an unprecedented divergence between domestic and external demand. Increasing risks in the face of surging short-term capital inflows, deteriorating current account deficit and rapid credit growth have called for an alternative...

This study comes up with a measure of the structural budget balance for the Turkish economy between 2006-2010 in order to assess fiscal stance and evaluate the sensitivity of the budget balance with respect to the business cycles. Calculating structural budget balance requires three steps:...

In this paper we have estimated the monetary reaction function of the Central Bank of Republic of Turkey. The originality of the paper is that we have used smooth transition functions (STR) that allow for proper modelling of nonlinearities and asymmetries in the relationship between variables...

Klasik gelenek, konjonktür dalgalarını piyasa mekanizmasının kendiliğinden ortadan kaldırabileceği geçici sapmalar olarak değerlendirirken; kapitalizmin doğası gereği istikrarsız olduğunu kabul eden Keynesçi gelenek, aktivist politikalarla konjonktür dalgalarının önlenmesi...

The central bank, whose main objective of monetary policies is to control inflation, can intervene in total expenditures on goods and services in the economy by affecting the growth rate of money and credit supply. In this study, it is aimed to examine the ex-post prediction of the real M2...

Following September 2010, the Central Bank of Turkey has targeted financial stability as well as its price stability. An increase in credit risks in the banking sector induces economic risks and therefore affects adversely the financial stability. The aim of this paper is to analyse the...

Enflasyon hedeflemesi popülaritesi giderek artan bir para politikasý rejimidir. Enflasyon hedeflemesinin popülaritesinin giderek artmasýnýn nedeni, makroekonomik performansý olumlu etkilediðine inanýlmasýdýr. Bu çalýþmada bu görüþün geçerliliði geliþmekte olan ülkeler...

In this study we attempt to shed some light on the theoretical and empirical discussions regarding the role of monetary aggregates in monetary policy formulations. We also assess the developments in the aftermath of the global financial crisis and emphasize the role of monetary aggregates in...

The primary goal of this study is to introduce monetary analysis for the Turkish economy in the light of empirical evidences that demonstrate the importance of this analysis for the economy. In the study we also focus on the implication of persistent money supply shocks, particularly shocks that...