In the aftermath of the global financial crisis, the state of macroeconomic modeling and the use of macroeconomic models in policy analysis has come under heavy criticism. Macroeconomists in academia and policy institutions have been blamed for relying too much on a particular class of...

Federal surpluses have come as a pleasant surprise, but using them to finance additional government spending would be disastrous. By the middle of the next decade, Social Security and Medicare outlays will soar beyond projected payroll taxes. While using the surpluses to offset future...