When the Central Bank sets nominal rates as a a non-decreasing function of the inflation rate to stabilize the economy, that is it uses a Taylor Rule, the zero lower bound on interest rates may result in multiple equilibria and a liquidity trap. However, if fiscal policy is non-Ricardian, or...

In this paper we take as given that market economies are characterized by a set of stylized responses to increases in the stock of money. Innovations to the stock of money lead to increased output and reductions in short-term interest rates in the short run and only in the long run do nominal...

Recent literature on structural vector autoregressions has attempted to identify the effects on the economy of an increase in the stock of money. This work has led to a broad concensus. Initially, an increase in money leads to an increase in economic activity. Output and employment go up, the...

We introduce mild increasing returns to scale into a version of the Real Business Cycle model. These increasing returns to scale occur as a consequence of sector-specific externalities, that is, externalities where the output of the consumption and investment sectors have external effects on the...

We examine global dynamics under infinite-horizon learning in New Keynesian models where the interest-rate rule is subject to the zero lower bound. The intended steady state is locally but not globally stable. Unstable deflationary paths emerge after large pessimistic shocks to expectations. For...

We examine global dynamics under learning in New Keynesian models with price level targeting that is subject to the zero lower bound. The role of forward guidance is analyzed under transparency about the policy rule. Properties of transparent and non-transparent regimes are compared to each...

An economy exhibits structural heterogeneity when the forecasts of different agents have different effects on the determination of aggregate variables. We study the important case of economies in which agents' behavior depends on forecasts of aggregate variables and show how different forms of...