Threshold models have been found useful in modeling nonlinearities in many financial time series. In this framework, the financial variable of interest evolves according to different dynamics, which is solely determined by the threshold regimes that the observed indicator variable falls into....

This paper studies volatility in individual stocks of the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSE), using a recently developed nonlinear approach, a stochastic threshold model. Trading information is embedded into the determination process for volatility in the stochastic threshold model with a generalized...

Using monthly stock and bond return data in the past 150 years (1855-2001) for both the U.S. and the U.K., this study documents time-varying stock-bond correlation over macroeconomic conditions (the business cycle, the inflation environment and monetary policy stance). There are different...

Using intra-day data, this paper investigates the contribution to the price discovery of Euro and Japanese Yen exchange rates in three foreign exchange markets based on electronic trading systems: the CME GLOBEX regular futures, E-mini futures, and the EBS interdealer spot market. Contrary to...

Intraday currency futures prices react to both surprises in the federal funds target rate (the target factor) and surprises in the anticipated future direction of Federal Reserve monetary policy (the path factor) by a similar magnitude, and the reaction is short-lived. Dollar-denominated...

We uncover a positive stock market risk-return tradeoff after controlling for the covariance of market returns with the value premium. Fama and French (1996) conjecture that the value premium proxies for investment opportunities; therefore, by ignoring it, early specifications suffer from an...

This study examines the long-run price relationship and the dynamic price transmission among the U.S., Germany, and four major Eastern European emerging stock markets, with particular attention to the impact of the 1998 Russian financial crisis. The results show that both the long-run price...

This study examines the impact of the recent establishment of the Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) on the long-run, short-run and contemporaneous structures of integration among eleven European stock markets and the US. The results show that although two cointegrating vectors exist both before...

This paper tests the conjecture that the value premium constructed from the cross-section of stocks proxies for investment opportunities by investigating whether it helps explain the puzzling empirical risk-return tradeoff in the stock market across time. In contrast with many early authors, we...

This study explores dynamic price relationships among nine major stock index futures markets, combining an error correction model with directed acyclic graph (DAG) analysis. DAG-based innovation accounting results show that the Japanese market is isolated from other major stock index futures...