The purpose of this paper is to study the direction of causality between the stock market and macroeconomic variables. India is taken as a case study. Although, there have been many studies which attempted to find out the relationship between Indian stock market and economic variables, this...

This paper seeks to close the gap of the lack of empirical evidence surrounding the different impact of conventional interest rates on Islamic finance components – Islamic stock markets, Islamic banking and Islamic insurance (called takaful). Such evidence remains imperative in order for the...

Generally, Shariah (Islamic) indices are considered to have lower portfolio betas relative to conventional ones. The lower portfolio beta of Islamic indexes is a logical result of Shariah screening. As Shariah screening eliminates stocks with high financial leverage, the resulting portfolio beta...

Econometricians had been blamed for the financial crises that occurred due to their giving a ‘false hope’ to investors and policy makers using untested theoretical assumptions. Therefore, econometricians had been challenged to reform their studies by grounding them more solidly on reality....

Lecture notes for a course of Introductory Econometrics (linear regression model and ordinary least squares, including concepts of Linear Algebra and Inferential Statistics), and for a second course of Econometrics (simultaneous equations, instrumental variables, limited and full information...

The complete validation of an econometric model is a process which involves a formidable number of activities in the various steps of model building, like economic structure specification, test of hypothesis and parameter estimation, simulation behaviour and decision making. Our attention will...

A well known macroeconometric model of the Italian economy is updated to produce forecasts at 1974.

In nonlinear econometric models, the evaluation of forecast errors is usually performed, completely or partially, by resorting to stochastic simulation. However, for evaluating the specific contribution of errors in estimated structural coefficients, several alternative methods have been...

The estimation method of Two Stage Least Squares (2SLS) with Principal Components (2SPC) is applied to a medium-sized nonlinear econometric model of the Italian Economy.

Experiments of stochastic simulation on a nonlinear macroeconometric model are described in this paper. The results are used both for improving the validation of a model of the Italian economy and for revisiting the heuristic value of the stochastic simulation methodology.