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Back from the Peak, Growth in Transition Countries Returns to Standard Rate of Catching-up
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2005
In its new special issue on the economies of Central, East and Southeast Europe, The Vienna Institute for International Economic Studies (wiiw) analyses the current economic situation in the region as well as development prospects for 2005 and 2006, presenting revised forecasts based on results...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492721
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Strong Growth, Driven by Exports in the NMS and by Consumption in the Future EU Members
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2006
(except in Hungary). Inflation slowed down to very low levels and is no longer a serious problem. Hungary and Slovakia will … Serbia, which has seen accelerating inflation, and Romania, where disinflation has been interrupted. The downside to that is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009492722
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As East You Go, the More They Grow: Transition Economies in a New Setting
Gligorov, Vladimir; Pöschl, Josef; Richter, Sandor - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2004
Belarus, Russia and Ukraine as well as in China. For each country, it provides a forecast relating to GDP growth, inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009649588
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Accelerating GDP Growth, Improved Prospects for European Integration
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2005
to EU accession and rising energy prices), inflation resumed its downward trend, reaching low single digits in most NMS … (except Slovakia) and in the remaining transition countries as well (except Romania, Serbia and Ukraine). Russian inflation … remaining inflation differential with respect to the eurozone, magnified by a natural appreciation tendency of NMS currencies …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009649596
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Will Exports Prevail over Austerity?
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2010
policy rests supports deflationary/stagnation tendencies in low-inflation/low-growth countries and bolsters booms/inflation … in high-inflation/high-growth countries. Whereas Germany has fallen victim to this policy, in a number of other countries …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008455838
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Where Have All the Shooting Stars Gone?
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2009
The report analyses recent economic developments and short- and medium-term prospects of the countries of Central and Eastern Europe, Southeast Europe including Turkey, as well as Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine and China. Separate chapters present an overview of developments in the European Union's...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004964275
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Crisis Is Over, but Problems Loom Ahead
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2010
After a long period of convergence, Central, East and Southeast Europe experienced a deep recession in 2009. The relatively moderate GDP decline (-3.6%) on average for the new EU member states (NMS) reflects Poland's weight in the group, the only EU country to have recorded positive GDP growth...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008547915
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Fasting or Feasting? Europe - Old and New - at the Crossroads
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012
External determinants Two key factors currently affect the economic prospects of CESEE the crisis in the euro area and movements in the commodity prices. For Russia, Kazakhstan and Ukraine declining world market prices of energy carriers, steel and other basic commodities are vital. For most of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010686219
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New Divide(s) in Europe?
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Hanzl-Weiss, Doris; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2012
The present economic crisis bears all the familiar hallmarks of the financial, debt-related and structural aspects of current account crises. All these aspects have lasting level effects and recovery can be very protracted. Export-led growth was an important feature of the recovery period...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010820235
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Recovery - in Low Gear across Tough Terrain
Astrov, Vasily; Gligorov, Vladimir; Havlik, Peter; … - Wiener Institut für Internationale … - 2011
gradual and delayed. Inflation rose throughout 2010 as food and commodity prices soared; in general, however, it will pose no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862167