This article develops a variety of new evidence on tax-loss selling and the January effect. Individual stocks are divided into categories depending on a tax-loss measure. By November, a given year can be categorized as a high tax loss or a low tax loss year. I find that December returns are...

This paper reviews and analyzes five areas relating to closed-end funds. (1) Issues relating to the existence of closed-funds and why rational investors subscribe to new issues of them. A detailed set of model assumptions is examined in order to understand the basis for closed-end funds coming...

Mutual fund splits occur in high-priced funds after unusually high returns. Split factors are related to the deviation of a fund's price from the mean of other funds' prices. Post-split numbers of shareholders and assets do not increase compared with funds having similar rates of asset growth....

This papers derives four-five year predictions of growth rates of accounting earnings per share implicit in four expected return models commonly used in financial research. A comparison of such growth rates with those produced and reported by Value Line analysts and those generated by a...

The ROPE model is a three-phase model that generates estimates of future dividends by incorporating estimates of return on equity and payout ratios rather than assuming that dividend growth rates decline linearly as in the second stage of the three-phase model. Growth firms often experience an...

This article presents evidence that dividend yields are directly related to and predict future stock returns: The higher the yield, the higher the stock return. The paper uses the constant dividend growth model and the subsidiary Golden Rule of Accumulation view that real long-term growth equals...

The coskewness and dividend yield effects on capital asset prices have been established in two separate literatures. Neither literature controls for the variable in the other, nor for other potentially confounding factors such as size of the firm and the January effect on returns. Using stock...

If both producers and consumers demand forecasts based solely on their forecasting ability, then the equilibrium employment of analysts, a higher cost factor than time series models, implies that analysts must produce better forecasts than time series models. Past studies of comparative earnings...

We analyze the pricing and informational efficiency of the Italian market for options written on the most important stock index, the MIB30. We find several indications inconsistent with the hypothesis that the Italian MIBO is an efficient market. We report that a striking percentage of the data...

The October 1987 crash of stock prices is a largely unexplainable event, much like any other setting of prices in the stock market, only larger. If anything the market operated efficiently in moving prices to a new level that tended to persist for many months thereafter, thus indicating that the...