Showing 1 - 10 of 17
In this paper we evaluate inflation persistence in the U.S. using long range monthly and annual data. The importance of … inflation persistence is crucial to policy authorities and market participants, since the level of inflation persistence … found in the relevant literature, we evaluate inflation persistence through the nonparametric Hurst exponent within both a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011145237
In this paper we evaluate inflation persistence in the U.S. using long range monthly and annual data. The importance of … inflation persistence is crucial to policy authorities and market participants, since the level of inflation persistence … generating process, in order to enhance the robustness of conclusions. Overall, we find that inflation persistence is high from …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149767
Purpose – This paper seeks to assess the impact of monetary policy on house price inflation for the nine census … investigation show that house price inflation responds negatively to a positive monetary policy shock, suggesting that the framework … VARs. Research limitations/implications – The paper only considers house price inflation and ignores other housing market …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009143638
The existing literature on the theoretical relationship between the rate of inflation and real stock prices in an … economy has shown varied predictions about the long run effects of inflation on real stock prices. In this paper, we present … that, in the long run real stock prices are invariant to permanent changes in the rate of inflation. The impulse responses …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008756445
development and a higher (lower) level of inflation leads to a bigger (smaller) shadow economy. These findings are empirically …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744378
This study investigates the asymmetric and time-varying causality between inflation and inflation uncertainty in South … features of inflation series simultaneously by measuring inflation uncertainty as the conditional variance of inflation …’s hypothesis. This implies that past information on inflation can help improve the one-step-ahead prediction of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011125860
This paper analyses the empirical relationship between inflation and growth using a panel data estimation technique … time levels, we find that a statistically significant negative relationship exists between inflation and growth for the … inflation rates above the critical threshold levels of 9% and 30% which are endogenously determined. Furthermore, we remedy the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011165589
We try and detect whether there exists a threshold level of inflation for the US economy over 1801-2013, beyond which … semiparametric (SNP-IV) methods to obtain inflation thresholds for the United States. The results suggest that the relationship … between growth and inflation is hump shaped—that higher levels of inflation reduce growth more. Our results consistently show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095428
We compare inflation forecasts of a vector fractionally integrated autoregressive moving average (VARFIMA) model … against standard forecasting models. U.S. inflation forecasts improve when controlling for persistence and economic policy … uncertainty (EPU). Importantly, the VARFIMA model, comprising of inflation and EPU, outperforms commonly used inflation forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095456
The conduct of inflation targeting is heavily dependent on accurate inflation forecasts. Non-linear models have … African infl ation by means of non-linear models and using a long historical dataset of seasonally-adjusted monthly inflation …, given the fact that 1969:10 marks the beginning of a protracted rising trend in South African inflation data, we estimate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095462