This paper analyses the causal relationship between housing activity and growth in nine provinces of South Africa for the period 1995-2011, using panel causality analysis, which accounts for cross-section dependency and heterogeneity across provinces. Our empirical results support unidirectional...

This paper develops and estimates an open economy dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model of South Africa. We devote special attention to the impact of stock price wealth effects on output and the interest rate. For this reason we adopt a perpetual youth approach, which allows for a limited...

This paper investigates the long-run impact of inflation on homeowner equity in South Africa by analysing the relationship between house prices and the prices of non-housing goods and services. Quarterly data series are collected for the luxury, large middle-segment, medium middle-segment, small...

This paper analyses the intertemporal hedging demand for stocks and bonds in South Africa (SA), the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US). The analysis is done using an approximate solution method for the optimal consumption and wealth portfolio problem of an infinitely long-lived...

This paper analyses the out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear vs. linear models for the South African Rand against the United States dollar and the British Pound, in real terms. We compare the forecasting performance of point, interval and density forecasts for non-linear Band- TAR...

This paper analyses the out-of-sample forecasting performance of non-linear vs. linear models for the South African rand against the United States dollar and the British pound, in real terms. We compare the forecasting performance of point, interval and density forecasts for non-linear Band-TAR...

This paper conducts an empirical analysis to establish whether a causal relationship exists between oil prices and interest rate in South Africa. We employ a causality testing procedure in the frequency domain to analyse the relationship between these two variables. We use monthly data on the...

This study examines the time series behaviour of South African house prices within a fractional integration modelling framework while identifying potential breaks and outliers. We used quarterly data on the six house price indexes, namely affordable, luxury, middle-segment (all sizes, large,...

Purpose – The objective of this paper is to explore the sensitivity of industry-specific stock returns to monetary policy and macroeconomic news. The paper looks at a range of industry-specific South African stock market indices and evaluates the sensitivity of these indices to various...

Purpose – This paper aims to develops an estimable hybrid model that combines the micro-founded DSGE model with the flexibility of the atheoretical VAR model. Design/methodology/approach – The model is estimated via the maximum likelihood technique based on quarterly data on real gross...