’ relative position persists: those with the highest unemployment rates in 1996 were also in the worse position in 2012. To …. Shock responses are channelled via changes in unemployment, labour market participation, and spatial mobility. Our results … participation rates are the main adjustment mechanism in expansion, unemployment and spatial mobility become the central ones in …

This paper examines the movements in EU unemployment from two perspectives: (a) the NRU/NAIRU perspective, in which … unemployment movements are attributed largely to changes in the long-run equilibrium unemployment rate and (b) the chain …-reaction perspective, in which unemployment movements are viewed as the outcome of the interplay between labor market shocks and prolonged …

Purpose – This paper aims to provide an account of the unemployment performance of two Nordic countries during their … conduct dynamic simulation exercises and explore the determinants of unemployment. Findings – The analysis yields two main … findings. First, the capital stock was the most important determinant of the unemployment trajectory in both countries. This …

The aim of this paper is to analyze and estimate salient characteristics of unemployment dynamics. Movements in … unemployment are viewed as ‘ ‘ chain reactions’’ of responses to labor market shocks, working their way through systems of … construct aggregate measures of unemployment responses to temporary and permanent shocks. These measures are temporal (depicting …

This paper challenges what is the standard account of UK unemployment, namely that the major swings in unemployment … over the past 25 years are due predominantly to movements in the underlying empirical "natural rate of unemployment" (NRU … unemployment are due, instead, to very prolonged after-effects of persistent (transitory but long-lasting) shocks. We argue that (a …

This paper explores the two common concepts of the natural rate of unemployment: (i) the stable, long-run equilibrium … rate of unemployment; and (ii) the equilibrium unemployment rate at which there is no tendency for this rate to change … towards which the equilibrium unemployment rate tends with the passage of time). Specifically, it is not a reference point in …

This paper presents a reappraisal of unemployment movements in the European Union. Our analysis is based on the chain … reaction theory of unemployment, which focuses on (a) the interaction among labor market adjustment processes, (b) the … growth drivers. Estimating a system of labor market equations for a panel of EU countries, we derive the dynamic unemployment …

This paper evaluates two theories of unemployment: the natural rate theory (whereby unemployment is depicted as … fluctuating around a reasonably stable natural rate) and the chain reaction theory (which views movements in unemployment as the … unemployment not only in the short run, but in the long run as well. The reason is that, in the presence of growing exogenous …