This discussion paper led to a publication in the 'Journal of Econometrics', 2011, 163, 215-230.<P> We propose new scoring rules based on partial likelihood for assessing the relative out-of-sample predictive accuracy of competing density forecasts over a specific region of interest, such as the...</p>

Purpose – The purpose of this paper is to explore the roles of diversification, hedging, and a third risk-reduction process – “pacification” – in risk finance. Design/methodology/approach – After briefly reviewing the concepts of diversification and hedging, a simple mathematical...

Purpose – The paper aims to explore a risk-finance context in which less information may be preferable to more information. Design/methodology/approach – Insurance companies collect a variety of information on potential policyholders to support two fundamental components of risk...