In this paper, we propose finite and large sample likelihood based test procedures for possibly non-linear hypotheses on the coefficients of SURE systems. Two complementary approaches are described. First, we propose an exact Monte Carlo bounds test based on the standard likelihood ratio...

We test for the presence of time-varying parameters (TVP) in the long-run dynamics of energy prices for oil, natural gas and coal, within a standard class of mean-reverting models. We also propose residual-based diagnostic tests and examine out-of-sample forecasts. In-sample LR tests support the...