»Deflation«, »Kreditklemme« und »Bankenkrise« waren die Schlagworte in derFinanzpresse des Jahres 2003. Insbesondere hier zu Lande wurde über Monate in den Medien davon gesprochen, dass sich Deutschland in der japanischen Malaise befände. In ihrem Beitrag gehen Prof. Dr. Stephan Paul,...

In ihrem Frühjahrsgutachten veranschlagten die Wirtschaftsforschungsinstitute die Preissteigerungsrate auf der Verbraucherstufe im Jahr 2000 auf 1‚5%. Seit der Veröffentlichung dieser Prognose im April hat der Euro gegenüber den Währungen wichtiger Industriestaaten allerdings nochmals...

This paper presents an empirical analysis of the determinants of inflation in the United States, Japan, the euro area and the United Kingdom, focusing on the role of resource utilisation, inflation expectations, inflation persistence and imported inflation. It also includes a cross-sectional...

This work is a PhD dissertation, written at the Department of Economics, McGill University. The thesis offers a new framework for inflation as a process of restructuring. Contrary to existing theories of inflation, which tend to take structure and institutions as given for the purpose of...

The April 21, 2005 issue of the LONDON REVIEW OF BOOKS carried a lead article titled ‘Blood for Oil?’ The paper is attributed to a group of writers and activists – Iain Boal, T.J. Clark, Joseph Matthews and Michael Watts – who identify themselves by the collective name ‘Retort.’ In...

Die Preisentwicklung im Einzelhandel und in der Lebenshaltung stand vor allem im vergangenen Jahr in der öffentlichen Diskussion. Betrachtet man die Preisentwicklung in 2002 im Einzelhandel, insbesondere bei Nahrungs- und Genussmitteln sowie bei Gebrauchsgütern, zeigt sich ein nur leichter...

Deterministic simulations with the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s core FPS model show how New Zealand’s broad macroeconomic environment might have evolved over the 1990s, if a US nominal yield curve and US TWI exchange rate movements under a common currency arrangement had been...

This paper uses data for Australia, the United States, Japan and the euro area to examine the relative performance of the headline CPI, exclusion-based ‘cores’, and trimmed means as measures of underlying inflation. Overall, we find that trimmed means tend to outperform headline and...

The paper reviews the sources of «Upward bias» and «Downward bias» in the USConsumer Price Index (CPI) and discusses the changes the Bureau of Labor Statistics has introduced in order to eliminate them. The remaining biases are quantified. Also, the question is raised how much the changes to...

Over the past century, the institution of capital and the process of its accumulation have been fundamentally transformed. By contrast, the theories that explain this institution and process have remained largely unchanged. The purpose of this paper is to address this mismatch. Using a broad...