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We investigate the relative performance of a wide array of Value at Risk (VaR) models with the daily returns of Turkish (XU100) and Croatian (CROBEX) stock index prior to and during the ongoing financial crisis. In addition to widely used VaR models, we also study the behaviour of conditional...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010904516
This paper will examine some commonly adopted approaches to the measurement of risk in finance and the various shortcomings implicit in the underpinnings of these approaches: early views on the nature of risk and uncertainty (Hume, Bernoulli, Knight, Keynes and Ramsey); the adoption of a mean...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010669053
the banks' trading revenues and help to explain the bank VaR performance results. While highly conservative in the pre …-crisis period, bank VaR exceedances were excessive and clustered in the crisis period. All benchmark VaRs were more accurate in the …-period market conditions. Despite their weaker performance, the bank VaRs exhibited greater predictive power for a measure of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010784145
and led to bank restructuring and consolidation. This paper looks at firm access to credit in the region, focusing on the … role of credit market structure. Using firm-level data from theWorld Bank Enterprise Survey, we find that access to bank … likely to be financially constrained. We also find that a high degree of bank penetration and competition are significantly …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943309
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009327663
The recent financial crisis has accelerated the debate of executive remuneration. Theoretically, there are divergences between the design of executive remuneration suggested by agency theory and reality. In this study, we contribute to this debate by re-visiting the theories underlying the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009278684
We analyze the effects on bank valuation of government policies aimed at shoring up banks' financial conditions during …/or guaranteed bank assets and liabilities. We employ event study methodology to estimate the impact of government …-intervention announcements on bank valuation. Using traditional approaches, announcements directed at the banking system as a whole were …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010610095
The global crisis exposed weaknesses in the Hungarian financial system that pose risks to financial stability. Excessive risk-taking by banks and households had been masked by relatively stable exchange rates, the expected early adoption of the euro and unusually lax credit conditions in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008552864
Although the case for trade liberalization is now well established, the case for financial liberalization is not, because the latter is associated with lending booms and crises. Some critics invoke as evidence the recent weak growth of Mexico, a prominent liberalizer. We argue that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061890
one-period probit model used by Cole and Gunther (1998). Using data on U.S. bank failures from 1985 – 1992, we find that …, from an econometric perspective, the hazard model is more accurate than the probit model in predicting bank failures, but … data from the 1980s performs surprisingly well in forecasting bank failures during 2009 – 2010. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615025