This paper investigates leading indicators of systemic banking crises in a panel of 11 EU countries, with a particular focus on Finland. We use quarterly data from 1980Q1 to 2013Q2, in order to create a large number of macro-financial indicators, as well as their various transformations. We make...

We show that eurozone bank risks during 2007–2013 can be understood as carry trade behavior. Bank equity returns load positively on peripheral (Greece, Italy, Ireland, Portugal, Spain, or GIIPS) bond returns and negatively on German government bond returns, which generated carry until the...

We provide a cross-country and cross-bank analysis of the financial determinants of the Great Financial Crisis using data on 83 countries from the period 1998 to 2006. First, our cross-country results show that the probability of suffering the crisis in 2008 was larger for countries having...

This paper analyzes capital inflow surges to emerging economies. Probit models estimated on the period 1980-2005 discriminate well between surges associated with banking crises or recessions, and those that end without such events. The composition of inflows and the extent of financial reform...

A survey of the empirical literature on early warning indicators of banking crises is presented. Descriptive analyses have been published for decades, but cross-national panel data analyses have only been performed since the late 1990s. More recently, the severity of the subprime-Lehman crisis...

We analyze the effect of banking crises on terrorist activity for 146 countries between 1972 and 2006. We show that banking crises lead to a subsequent increase in terrorism. This effect is only relevant in less developed economies.

Banking systems have rapidly grown to a point where for many countries bank assets amount to multiples of GDP. As a consequence, governmentfs capacity to provide stability-enhancing fiscal guarantees against systemic crises can no longer be taken for granted. As regulation of dynamic financial...

This study aimed to reveal the fiscal cost of banking interventions in the Eurozone. To this end, firstly, the theoretical underpinnings of a banking crisis and its management policies are explained, then the policies used in the Eurozone and their costs are analyzed in detail. For analysis of...

Sweden was hit by a severe macroeconomic crisis in the early 1990s. GDP fell for three consecutive years in 1991-1993, unemployment increased by 9 percentage points, banks had to be nationalized, and public budget deficits exceeded 10 percent of GDP. The recovery was however quick. GDP growth...