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We examine Lars E O Svensson's prominent critique of the monetary policy of the Sveriges Riksbank (the Swedish central bank) from 1995-2012. Our main objection concerns Svensson's conclusion that the original pre-Friedman/Phelps version of the Phillips curve based on constant inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011019080
Following Driscoll and Holden (2004), I model forward-looking workers who consider it unfair if a wage adjustment fails to match past inflation. However, the present paper proposes a much larger effect by using the job finding rate as the measure of workers' opportunities outside the firm rather...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010956041
This paper proposes a new econometric framework for estimating trend inflation and the slope of the Phillips curve with a regime-switching model. As a unique aspect of our approach, we assume regimes for the trend inflation at one-percent intervals, and estimate the probability of the trend...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011271664
Historically, money growth has played an important role in Swiss monetary policy, until 1999 as a target and from 2000 onwards as an indicator variable. Since the new policy framework focusses on an inflation forecast, the question arises how useful money growth is for predicting future price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005091298
This paper studies the interdependence between fiscal and monetary policy in a DSGE model with sticky prices and non-zero trend inflation. We characterize the fiscal and monetary policies by a rule whereby a given fraction k of the government debt must be backed by the discounted value of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005536893
Penninginflation är principiellt oriktig och kan liknas vid forna tiders myntförsämring. Den förvränger alltid marknadsdata - Inte bara relativpriser, men även kassaflöden – vilket försämrar resursallokeringen. ”Deflation” i betydelsen prissänkningar är av ondo enbart om den...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005642454
Historically, money growth has played an important role in Swiss monetary policy, until 1999 as a target and from 2000 onwards as an indicator variable. Since the new policy framework focusses on an inflation forecast, the question arises how useful money growth is for predicting future price...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008925063
This paper proposes a more general definition of loss avoidance, relates it to fairness and applies it to the labor market. By influencing judgments about what is a fair wage readjustment, it can lead to coordination failures, generating downward nominal wage rigidity (DNWR) and disinflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008615623
Monetary aggregates have historically played an important role in Swiss monetary policy, with the Swiss National Bank using money growth targets until 1999. Since 2000, when a new policy framework was introduced that focuses on an inflation forecast, money growth has been used as an indicator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005427590
This note explores how the economic thinking about macroeconomic management has evolved since the crisis began. It discusses developments in monetary policy, including unconventional measures; the challenges associated with increased public debt; and the policy potential, risks, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245877