The forecast plays an important role in the planning, the decision-making and control in any domain of activity … (univariate models), that use only the information of its past values to forecast the future, can often predict future with more … accuracy than causal or multivariate models. In this paper, we model and forecast the offensive effectiveness of the soccer …

high capacity of forecast of the model structuralized for the development of the study. Admitting the forecasted values …

divergent information. We manipulate forecast ability so that two individuals are strong analysts and two are weak. In three …

inaccuracy in the 20-year forecast of major road projects is ±30 % at minimum, with some estimates as high as ±40–50 % over even …

. Those exceeding this cap systematically but falsely forecast a rapid future improvement. The new fiscal compact among the …