This paper develops and tests a time-series model of pricing to market with respect to both changes in exchange rates and freight rates using Canadian export commodities exported to three markets (Japan, Germany, and United Kingdom).

The local linear trend and global linear trend models embody extreme assumptions about trends. According to the local linear trend formulation the level and growth rate are allowed to rapidly adapt to changes in the data path. On the other hand, the Glaobal linear trend model makes no allowance...

There is a widespread tendency in the applied time series literature to interpret rejections of the unit root null hypothesis in favor of a trend stationary process with possible trend breaks as evidence that the data are better characterized as stationary about a broken trend. This...

The conventional Edgeworth expansion view of bootstrap confidence intervals suggests that for the bootstrap to exceed the accuracy of the normal approximation one must bootstrap asymptotically pivotal statistics. This paper questions the basic premise of the asymptotic theory used to rationalize...

There has been serious suspicion of a spurious rejection of the unit roots in panel studies of PPP due to the failure to control cross-sectional dependence. This article presents evidence of mean-reversion in industrial country real exchange rates in a set up that accounts for cross-sectional...

First reported monthly and quarterly time series data on nine macroeconomic variables from 1960-1993 are given. Features of this so called "unrevised" or "first reported data" are discussed, and the data is compared with standard "fully revised" data using Granger causality tests.

This paper is concerned with the empirical investigation of models of the US short term interest rate, using a mixture of classical non-parametric methods and of Bayesian parametric methods. The shape of the drift and volatility functions of the usual di usion equation are rst investigated using...

his paper intends to harmonize two different approaches to the analysis of the business cycle and in doing so it retrieves the stylized facts of the business cycle in Europe. We start with the classical' approach proposed in Burns and Mitchell (1946) of dating and analyzing the business cycle; we...

We propose a simple intertemporal model of output and current account dynamics that we estimate using a cointegrated VAR approach. We suggest a method for identifying global and country-specific shocks from the VAR and test it, using cross-country evidence.