Numerous empirical studies for industrial countries have shown that the term structure of interest rates is a good indicator for future output growth. This paper addresses the question whether the interest rate spread contains any additional predictive power if information on the money stock is...

This study uses a large panel of industrialized and developing countries to investigate the link between exchange rate volatility and exports. Although the empirical literature on this relationship is extensive, a clear consensus about its nature and importance is yet to emerge. Using fixed- and...

There is little agreement on how to measure seigniorage changes and their sources in a monetary union. This paper informs the debate by developing a modular approach that distinguishes between seigniorage changes a country experiences during the transition phase prior to joining a monetary union...

The paper reconsiders Friedman's (1977) proposition that increased inflation uncertainty may have adverse real effects for the German case. A proxy for the unobservable uncertainty variable is obtained from the Kalman-filtering estimation of a time-varying parameter model of inflation. The...

There is little agreement on how to measure seigniorage changes and their sources in a monetary union. This paper informs the debate by developing a modular approach that distinguishes between seigniorage changes a country experiences during the transition phase prior to joining a monetary union...