The argument that is put forward in this paper is that failure to represent stochastic trend and stochastic seasonality in an AIDS model leads to a misspecified and possibly structurally unstable model. This proposition is verified by estimating an AIDS model of the demand for alcoholic...

The exchange rate of the Kuwaiti dinar against the Japanese yen is modelled in terms of the activities of fundamentalists and technicians as well as the effect of the exchange rate arrangement. The results show that market forces, as represented by the activities of traders, play a role in the...

Imad Moosa shows that the effect of triangular arbitrage in the forward market is similar to the combined effect of triangular arbitrage in the spot market and covered interest arbitrage. He also shows that when the forward rates are inconsistent then this implies inconsistency of the spot rates...

This study examines stock market contagion from the United States to the markets of the GCC countries during the period 2007-08. These countries (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates) were also experiencing accelerating debt levels, overheated real estate...