Crafts, Nicholas; Mills, Terence C - Department of Economics, University of Warwick - 2012
We report estimates of the fiscal multiplier for interwar Britain based on quarterly data, time-series econometrics …, and ‘defense news’. We find that the government expenditure multiplier was in the range 0.5 to 0.8, much lower than … future defense spending and does not imply that the multiplier effect of temporary public works programs would have been …