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The Eurozone recent crisis has shown how balance of payments problems in less developed European Monetary Union (EMU) member countries can affect EMU trading partners, spreading the crisis to a larger group of countries. This paper introduces a three-country dynamic general equilibrium model to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010573397
We develop a general econometric model of currency crises and contagion that integrates a number of important features … find strong evidence of contagion, mostly from the Spanish peseta to the Portuguese escudo, and to some extent from the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065314
This paper puts recent theoretical developments in the literature on currency crises in perspective by comparing two theoretical approaches, one based on the speculative attack model of Krugman-Flood-Garber and the other approach, which evolved following the 1992-93 crisis of the European...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005123792
In this paper we test for contagion within the East Asian region, contagion being defined as a significant increase in … omitted variable respectively. The null of interdependence against the alternative of contagion is then tested as an over …-identifying restriction. Unlike other studies, our approach is based on full-sample estimation, and hence avoids the power problems arising …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408168
In this paper, we contribute to the literature on the international stock market co-movements and contagion, especially …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010664401
In this paper, we investigate worldwide contagion and its determinants during the 2008 financial crisis. Utilizing an … international sample of returns from 2003 to 2009, we consider both uni- and bi-directional contagion. After controlling for crisis … crises, contagion following the 2008 global financial crisis is not confined to emerging markets. The United States and other …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116374
Free trade theory of the international macroeconomics suggests, it will improve international trade conditions in form …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010629886
I explore an empirically robust but previously undocumented association between the foreign exchange reserves accumulated by central banks of emerging market economies and dollar-denominated debt held in the balance sheets of non financial sector firms. Borrowing in dollars can have damaging...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010860122
This study examines the sources of currency crises in ASEAN. The empirical findings indicate that reserve inadequacy, increase of bank’s claims on private sector, deteriorating trade balance and misalignment of real exchange rate increase the probability of a speculative attack on a currency....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408141
Is there any factor that is not analyzed in the literature but is important for preventing currency crises? What kind of shock is important as a trigger of a currency crisis? Given the same shock, how does the impact of a currency crisis differ across countries depending on the degree of each...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011124285