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To investigate the effects on Papua New Guinea’s economy of substantial liquified natural gas revenues arriving in 2015, we employ a model to examine the macroeconomic effects of a scalingup of natural resource windfall revenues and the implications for a variety of policy responses. The model...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242363
We develop a semi-structural new-Keynesian open-economy model, with separate food and non-food inflation dynamics, for …-relevant exercises. First, we filter international and Kenyan data (on output, inflation and its components, exchange rates and interest … inflation. Third, we perform an out-of-sample forecast to identify where the economy—and therefore policy—was likely headed …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242400
-looking specifications, especially when targeting core components of GDP and inflation, and combine the best parts of efficiency and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790253
This paper surveys the evidence on the effectiveness of monetary transmission in low-income countries. It is hard to come away from this review with much confidence in the strength of monetary transmission in such countries. We distinguish between the "facts on the ground" and "methodological...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790377
This paper provides an overview of inflation developments in Vietnam in the years following the doi moi reforms, and … uses empirical analysis to answer two key questions: (i) what are the key drivers of inflation in Vietnam, and what role … does monetary policy play? and (ii) why has inflation in Vietnam been persistently higher than in most other emerging …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790430
This study examines the challenges and issues facing policymakers in highly dollarized economies. Focusing on Cambodia, which achieved almost complete dollarization during 1991-95, the authors review recent developments in the literature on dollarization and examine the costs and benefits of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005590965
This Selected Issues paper looks at short-term inflation dynamics in the new member states (NMS) of the European Union …, focusing on the role of monetary policy regimes. It models the determinants of inflation in the NMS and assesses how different … of NMS, evaluates their role in reducing inflation, and identifies some of their distinctive characteristics. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005591070
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005767372
As Albania has succeeded in reducing inflation to very low levels, understanding the driving forces behind the behavior …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768846
and inflation in broad cross-country panels. This paper provides new econometric estimates for a panel of 23 emerging …-run relationship between the two variables controlling for differences in the inflation tax base. We find that a 1 percentage point … reduction in the ratio of fiscal deficit to GDP typically lowers long-run inflation by 1½ to 6 percentage points, depending on …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005768892