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The article discusses the grounds for three alternative forecasts of Russian economic development in 2012-14: a base version (moderately optimistic), a pessimistic one, and a moderately pessimistic one. Results of calculations using econometric methods and a dynamic input-output model of the...
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The paper considers the use of Markov models in studies of interregional reconciliation of rates and proportions in regional development. Proposed is a system of models of analysis and forecasting including a forecasting model of logistical ties among regions and a Markov forecasting model of...
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