This paper presents an analysis of diversification and portfolio value at risk for heavy-tailed dependent risks in models with multiple common shocks. We show that, in the framework of value at risk comparisons, diversification is optimal for moderately heavy-tailed dependent risks with common...

This paper focuses on the analysis of portfolio diversification for a wide class of nonlinear transformations of heavy-tailed risks. We show that diversification of a portfolio of nonlinear transformations of thick-tailed risks increases riskiness if expectations of these functions are infinite....

Recent results in value at risk analysis show that, for extremely heavy-tailed risks with unbounded distribution support, diversification may increase value at risk, and that, generally, it is difficult to construct an appropriate risk measure for such distributions. We further analyze the...

The present paper introduces new sign tests for testing for conditionally symmetric martingale-difference assumptions as well as for testing that conditional distributions of two (arbitrary) martingale-difference sequences are the same. Our analysis is based on the results that demonstrate that...

We present a unified approach to value at risk analysis under heavy-tailedness using new majorization theory for linear combinations of thick-tailed random variables that we develop. Among other results, we show that the stylized fact that portfolio diversification is always preferable is...

In this paper, we obtain sharp estimates for the expected payoffs and prices of European call options on an asset with an absolutely continuous price in terms of the price density characteristics. These techniques and results complement other approaches to the derivative pricing problem. Exact...

We develop a model for markets for catastrophic risk. The model explains why insurance providers may choose not to offer insurance for catastrophic risks and not to participate in reinsurance markets, even though there is a large enough market capacity to reach full risk sharing through...

Despite the availability of more sophisticated methods, a popular way to estimate a Pareto exponent is still to run an OLS regression: log(Rank) = <italic>a</italic> - <italic>b</italic> log(Size), and take <italic>b</italic> as an estimate of the Pareto exponent. The reason for this popularity is arguably the simplicity and robustness of this...

This paper focuses on the analysis of efficiency, peakedness, and majorization properties of linear estimators under heavy-tailedness assumptions. We demonstrate that peakedness and majorization properties of log-concavely distributed random samples continue to hold for convolutions of...

Let $\xi_1, \ldots, \xi_n$ be independent random variables with ${\bf E}\xi_i=0,$ ${\bf E}|\xi_i|^t<\infty$, $t>2$, $i=1,\ldots, n,$ and let $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^n \xi_i.$ In the present paper we prove that the exact constant ${\overline C}(2m)$ in the Rosenthal inequality $$ {\bf E}|S_n|^t\le C(t) \max...</\infty$,>