Borovkova, Svetlana; Geman, Helyette - In: Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics 10 (2006) 3, pp. 1372-1372
We model electricity futures prices using a seasonal forward curve model, quantifying seasonalities by a deterministic seasonal forward premium. Stochastic features of the futures prices are contained in the stochastic forward premium: a quantity analogous to the well-known convenience yield....