Im Mittelpunkt der Arbeit steht die theoretische und empirische Analyse von Angebot und Nachfrage auf den Im- und Exportmärkten. Sie ist mit dem Ziel verknüpft, die Reagibilität von Preisen und Mengen im Außenhandel in Bezug auf Änderungen des realen Wechselkurses und der wirtschaftlichen...

Abstract Almost all countries face the problems of trade balance, although they are more inherent in developing countries and economies in transition. A majority of economists adhere to a common opinion that real depreciation may lead to an improvement of trade balance. That said, countries...

Backus et al. in (Am Econ Rev 84(1): 84–103, 1994) found that the cross-correlation function between terms of trade and trade balance resembles the letter S and labeled it the S-curve. Support for S-curve is rather weak in some cases, most notably US when aggregate trade data are used....

Is there a J-curve for Azerbaijan? In answering this question, we are estimating a conventional trade model for Azerbaijan vis-à-vis its major trading partner—Europe. We are employing a Johansen approach to cointegration and error correction modeling. Our results suggest that a real...

This paper investigates the effect of dollar depreciation on the US tourism trade balance. Export revenue and import spending functions are estimated separately with structural vector autoregressive methods to better capture dynamic adjustments to exchange rate shocks. Quarterly data cover the...

The short-run and long-run effects of currency depreciation on the trade balance of Germany have been investigated by several studies. Studies that have used aggregate trade data between Germany and the rest of the world have been said to suffer from aggregation bias. Those that disaggregated...

The aim of this paper is to examine effectiveness of devaluation on the trade balance in four countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico and Peru. We use the Johansen-Juselius cointegration test and impulse response function to estimate the long-run and short- run effects of devaluation on the trade...

Earlier studies that investigated the J-Curve phenomenon employed aggregate trade data. Due to the aggregation bias problem, a few recent studies have shifted their emphasis toward using disaggregated data at bilateral level. However, studies related to the U.S., have investigated the phenomenon...

This study aims to test the existence of J-curve phenomenon in Laos’s economy using quarterly data over the period of 1993-2010. The ARDL bounds testing approach to cointegration is used to examine short run as well as long run impact of real depreciation of Lao kip on Lao trade balance. The...

O objetivo deste trabalho é analisar os efeitos de longo e curto prazos de choques na taxa de câmbio real sobre o saldo da balança comercial agropecuária brasileira. O procedimento metodológico empregado foi a análise multivariada descrita em Johansen (1988 e 1991) apud Hamilton (1994). Os...