Sustained large U.S. current account deficits have led some economists and policymakers to worry that future current account adjustment could occur through a sudden and disruptive depreciation of the dollar and a sharp drop in U.S. consumption. Two factors that, to date, have cast doubt on such...

The Asian countries hit by the 1997-98 currency crisis experienced a sharp reversal of capital flows that forced their current account balances to move from deficit to surplus. This study of the trade flows of Indonesia, Malaysia, South Korea, and Thailand finds that steep declines in imports,...

Sustained large U.S. current account deficits have led some economists and policymakers to worry that future current account adjustment could occur through a sudden and disruptive depreciation of the dollar and a sharp drop in U.S. consumption. Two factors that, to date, have cast doubt on such...

[eng] The Rise and Fall of Sovereign Wealth Accumulation : Causes and Consequences . This paper examines the sources of the rapid build-up in official foreign assets of recent years. Foreign exchange intervention and burgeoning petrodollar receipts -the two main sources of financing for recent...

[eng] This paper examines the sources of the rapid build-up in official foreign assets of recent years. Foreign exchange intervention and burgeoning petrodollar receipts - the two main sources of financing for recent official outflows - have very different implications for domestic monetary...

Traders, strategists, and other participants in the currency markets continuously seek to understand and interpret short-term exchange rate movements. One data set frequently used in those efforts is a weekly report of net futures market positions held by speculators on the Chicago Mercantile...