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Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires entering the Exchange Rate Mechanism II (ERM II). The European Central Bank recommends that the ERM II central rate should reflect the best possible assessment of the equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009641437
In this paper we discuss the estimation and methodology of the real equilibrium exchange rate partial equilibrium models and analyze to what extent the resulting estimates are applicable for setting the central parity prior to ERM II entry in the new EU member states. Given the uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005622124
In this paper we discuss the estimation and methodology of the real equilibrium exchange rate partial equilibrium models and analyse to what extent the resulting estimates are applicable for setting the central parity prior to ERM II entry in the New EU Member States. Given the uncertainty...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256907
In this research, the equilibrium real exchange rate as well as exchange rate misalignment in Switzerland and Lithuania is estimated based on behavioural equilibrium exchange rate and structural vector autoregression models. Moreover, driving forces of the real effective exchange rate are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109074
Given that the value of China’s currency has been hot topic recently, this paper explores the equilibrium levels of China’s real and nominal exchange rates. Employing a Johansen cointegration framework, we focus on the behavioral equilibrium exchange rate (BEER) and permanent equilibrium...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005648633
This paper identifies the Canadian–US equilibrium exchange rate based on a simple structural model of the real exchange rate, in which monetary policy follows a Taylor-rule interest rate reaction function. The exchange rate is explained by relative output and inflation as observable variables,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010599349
Utilizing the combined-form of PPP and UIP we estimate the cointegrating relations for ASEAN-5 economies. The study uses quarterly data over the period from 1980 to 2008. The findings reveal that exchange rate, interest rates and prices are cointegrated, implying that there is co-movement among...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008560982
We apply Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) theory to the analysis of long- run equilibrium in the foreign exchange market. We study the case of Portugal vis-à-vis Germany and Spain, and the case of Spain vis-à-vis Germany, in the period 1960-1990. The empirical analysis was based on unit-root...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005408164
The past attempts to investigate whether the Marshall-Lerner condition is fulfilled by using aggregate data in Bangladesh suffer from aggregation bias. This paper estimates trade elasticities using bilateral data between Bangladesh and its major trading partners. The results, using data covering...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011110192
In this paper we replace the Gaussian errors in the standard Gaussian, linear state space model with stochastic volatility processes. This is called a GSSF-SV model. We show that conventional MCMC algorithms for this type of model are ineffective, but that this problem can be removed by...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011256635