Taking a commonly-used and commonly-available trade policy model as our starting point, we examine the long-run effects of large-scale structural change with and without international capital accumulation, mobility and ownership. We demonstrate the relative merits and limitations of different...

This paper describes the initial development of a national integrated assessment model, based on the MMRF model used to analyse the CPRS. The initial development was geared towards delivering a proof of concept simulation to demonstrate the feasibility of the development of such a model. In...

Australian urban transport industries experienced substantial reform during the 1990s leading to significant structural change. Urban transport is typically an important expenditure item for households and structural change in these services may affect households differently depending on their...

We analyse the global economic effects of two influenza pandemics that represent extremes along the virulence-infectiousness continuum of possible pandemics: a high virulence-low infectiousness event and a low virulence-high infectiousness event. We do this by applying results from a...

Heat intolerance is a significant medical problem affecting people with Multiple Sclerosis. For people with MS, the costs of running their air conditioners are an additional disease-related expense that must be met on top of other out-of-pocket disease-related expenses. Using the results of the...

We simulate the effects of a hypothetical H1N1 epidemic in the U.S. using a quarterly CGE model. Quarterly periodicity allows us to capture the short-run nature of an epidemic. We find potentially severe economic effects in the peak quarter. Averaged over the epidemic year the effects are...

This paper examines the current national accounts measure of real output for three major service industries in Australia. It finds that real output measures for government administration services; defence services; and property and business services are unsatisfactory. Alternative estimates are...

We analyse the welfare outcomes of market distortions using a general-equilibrium model of a small, open economy that captures the trade-theoretic continuum from specific factors to Heckscher-Ohlin. We show the importance of two intrinsically dynamic phenomena on evaluating market distortions:...

This paper estimates the change in total factor productivity (TFP) in government administration services in Australia for the period 1986/87-1993/94. A simple model is presented and calibrated using Australian data. TFP is estimated to have remained constant over this period. The issues with...

This paper attempts to estimate the change in total factor productivity (TFP) in total education services provided in Australia, between 1986/87 and 1993/94. A simple model is developed and calibrated using Australian data. TFP is estimated to have fallen by between 16 and 26 per cent depending...