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The main objective of this paper is to identify a set of leading indicators of inflation for the United Kingdom, and discuss the conceptual issues pertaining to inflation targeting. The main conclusions are that narrow money has strong leading indicator properties for inflation, while broad...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782057
This paper derives a set of leading indicators of inflation for Sweden. It also discusses methodological and policy issues pertaining to the estimation of these indicators. The main findings are: (1) narrow money is the most powerful leading inflation indicator; (2) broad money and inflation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012782336
After the slump in economic growth between late 2012 and the middle of 2013, the Austrian economy is expected to follow a moderate upward trend, with GDP growth averaging 1.8 percent p.a. over the period 2014-2018. Private consumption in particular will remain subdued, as private households seem...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010884969
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010935643
Austria's GDP grew by just 0.3 percent in 2014, making for a sluggish economy for the third year in a row. Causes for the sluggishness were not just continued investment reticence on the part of businesses and muted expenditure on the part of private households but also the lack of any strong...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011266960
With a projected annual rate of 2.3 percent the Austrian economy will grow less than expected so far. Real GDP growth will lag slightly behind the mark of 2.4 percent observed between 2002 and 2007. The present downturn of the US business cycle will continue to weigh on activity in the euro area...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019572
The improving economic environment in the European Union also has a positive impact on Austria. In the forecasting period of 1999 to 2004, its real GDP is expected to grow by 2.5 percent p.a. on average, slightly less than the European average. According to the international scenario for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019767
The Austrian economy is about to enter a phase of cyclical upturn that should last until 2004, when growth may rise above 3 percent. For 2005 and 2006, a marked slowdown should be expected. The business cycle is determined primarily by international developments exerting a direct impact on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005019833
Austria's access to the European Economic Area substantially changed the competition rules governing the Austrian insurance business. Since the third generation of Directives on Insurance Services was issued, the principle of the single insurance license has been in force in the EU and the EEA,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020138
We provide empirical evidence on the degree and characteristics of price rigidity in Austria by estimating the average frequency of price changes and the duration of price spells from a large data set of individual price records collected for the computation of the Austrian CPI.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005020324