The ability of some neural nets to predict the direction of the Mexican economy —represented by its LEI— when taking as inputs the simultaneous versions (smooth- ing and predictive) of a Gaussian Process fed with a Stock Index and a Bonds Index representing the Mexican market, is favorably...

The financial industry, like many others, is powered by information and data. While the subjects of the data (balance sheet items or counterparty information, for example) may vary dramatically, they all describe a particular financial institution or legal entity. Yet a standard way to uniquely...

This paper investigates the dynamic evolution of tail risk interdependence among U.S. banks, financial services and insurance sectors. Life and non-life insurers have been considered separately to account for their different characteristics. The tail risk interdependence measurement framework...

This paper examines a simple basis risk model based on correlated geometric Brownian motions. We apply quadratic criteria to minimize basis risk and hedge in an optimal manner. Initially, we derive the Föllmer–Schweizer decomposition for a European claim. This allows pricing and hedging under...

In this paper, we study the impact of extreme events on the loan portfolios of the Greek banking system. These portfolios are grouped into three separate groups based on the size of the bank to which they belong, in particular, large, medium, and small size. A series of extreme scenarios was...

This four-chapter overview of basic exchange rate theories discusses (i) the elasticity and absorption approach, (ii) the (long-run) implications of the monetary approach, (iii) the short-run effects of monetary and fiscal policy under various economic conditions, and (iv) the transition from...

Though Congress and Presidents Bush and Obama put forth several different mortgage modification programs, the rate of foreclosures has continued to rise over the past several years. According to CoreLogic, about one-in-four (23%) mortgages were underwater in the second quarter of 2010, and...

The severe crises within the Eurozone, which began in 2009, had (and still have) at least two main aspects. One is the problem of sovereign bonds issued by peripheral Euro-States. The other is the fall in the rate of growth of the Eurozone. Among the many proposals and political choices made to...

The environment in which the accounting and auditing firms operate is changing. The economic, technological and financial contexts directly affect their business. In addition, the customers have become more fastidious in terms of the nature, the speed and the precision of the required services....