In this paper we analyze macroeconomic effects of inflation targeting policy in New Zealand using Markov switching model with one time permanent break. Our results show that the inflation targeting policy has significantly changed the inflation dynamics in the New Zealand economy. The Markov...

Conventional wisdom holds that stocks are riskier than bonds; thus when the stock market becomes volatile, money flows from the stock market into the perceived safe haven of the bond market. In this article, we find that this notion is not necessarily accurate and might lead people to make...

We study the effects of expected and unexpected inflation on real stock returns for France, Germany, Italy and the UK. We find evidence that unexpected inflation affects stock returns in France, Italy and the UK, but that expected inflation does not. Unexpected interest rates also affect real...

Many economics principles textbooks mention that stocks and bonds are substitutes, and some textbook authors state that stocks are riskier than bonds. Most people seem to believe this idea. Whenever the stock market is volatile, money flows from the stock market into the safe haven of the bond...

Previous literature on the stability of the US money demand function suggests mixed results. In this article, we study the stability of the money demand function from the standpoint of structural changes in the function. We first investigate if a stable money demand function can be found for the...

"In this paper, we investigate the sources of the decline in U.S. output volatility. We estimate structural vector autoregression models before and after the structural break date of the first quarter of 1984. We find that the magnitude of both supply and demand shocks in the pre-1984 period is...