Thirty-eight years of U.S. data indicate that U.S. monetary policy continues to have a strong relationship with security returns. U.S. stock returns are consistently higher and less volatile when the Federal Reserve is following an expansive monetary policy. Furthermore, the monetary...

Brocato and Steed (1998) showed that portfolio rebalancing based on NBER business cycle turning points substantially improves in-sample Markowitz efficiency. In a similar vein, we investigate potential improvements from rebalancing based on turning points in the monetary cycle. We find that the...

Ample evidence shows that size and book-to-market equity explain significant cross-sectional variation in stock returns, whereas betas contribution is minimal or nonexistent. Recent studies also demonstrate that proxies for monetary stringency increase the explained variation in stock returns....