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This paper presents new non-linear regression estimates of the relationship between inflation and economic growth for … inflation is associated with moderate gains in GDP growth up to a roughly 15 – 18 percent inflation threshold. However, the … at all with either the inflation coefficient or our estimated turning point. With the middle income countries, we return …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009467896
This Selected Issues paper estimates both Guatemala’s potential output and output gap using a wide range of econometric techniques. The analysis suggests that Guatemala’s potential output growth is about 3.5 percent for the whole sample period and that the output gap is almost...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011243930
This paper reviews recent advances in the specification and estimation of Bayesian Vector Autoregressive models (BVARs). After describing the Bayesian principle of estimation, we first present the methodology originally developed by Litterman (1986) and Doan et al. (1984) and review alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825693
inflation and unemployment, fiscal balance, zloty real revaluation, capacity restructuring, private sector growth and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005475020
External demand was the main driver of growth in Thailand in 2006 and 2007. However, WEO projections indicate moderating foreign demand in 2008, with U.S. growth being revised downwards to reflect the turmoil in housing and credit markets, and high oil prices. While the share of Thai exports to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248323
China’s transformation into a dynamic private-sector-led economy and its integration into the world economy have been among the most dramatic global economic developments of recent decades. This paper provides an overview of some of the key aspects of recent developments in China’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252521
convergence; meeting all of the Maastricht criteria, save for inflation. Estonia’s banking system remains financially sound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005252951
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005207616
This paper presents an overview of recent U.S. fiscal developments and discusses possible implications of the sharp turn around in the government’s fiscal position. Against this back ground, it also reviews key policy challenges that will need to be addressed to cope with the mounting...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824863
exhibiting signs of overheating, with imbalances evident in inflation, the current account, and external debt. GDP grew at an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005825269