This paper examines the relationship between uninformed trading and asset prices. We outline a simple market clearing model in which some traders have demands shocks that are uncorrelated with asset fundamentals. We verify the predictions of the model empirically using an untapped dataset that...

We study the impact of analyst forecasts on prices to determine whether investors learn about analyst accuracy. Our test market is the crude oil futures market. Prices rise when analysts forecast a decrease (increase) in crude supplies. In the 15 minutes following supply realizations, prices...

We derive a pricing model for employee stock options (ESO) that expands on Ingersoll (2006) by including default risk and that additionally considers the effects of employee over-confidence. We find that illiquidity reduces subjective value and alters incentive effects and value sensitivities....

We explore how financial firms trade on in-house, US equity recommendations. We match the quarterly trades of financial firms with their own recommendations and document their trading patterns before, in the same quarter as, and after issuing recommendations. We find that net trade is more...

This paper investigates basis spreads on index futures listed on the Taiwan Futures Exchange. We analyze the role of speculators and of informed trading in Taiwan's futures market using intraday data during the five-day pre-expiration period. We demonstrate that liquidity, volatility, and...

We test the implications of a multi-asset equilibrium model in which a finite number of risk-averse liquidity providers accommodate non-informational trading imbalances. These imbalances generate predictable reversals in stock returns. An imbalance in one stock also affects the prices of other...

In this paper, we explore how US financial firms trade relative to their own equity analyst recommendations. In the quarter-of and that immediately follow a recommendation, firm trades are significantly positively related to recommendation changes. This relation is robust to controls for...