This paper updates and extends Friedman’s (1972) evidence on the lag between monetary policy actions and the response of inflation. Our evidence is based on UK and US data for the period 1953–2001 on money growth rates, inflation, and interest rates, as well as annual data on money growth...

Here we investigate the selection of an optimal horizon for inflation targeting in the United Kingdom. We examine each of several ways for interpreting optimal horizons. To assess robustness against model uncertainty, we derive results for a set of models „ rather than just one „ having...

In this paper we investigate the problem of selecting an optimal horizon for inflation targeting in the United Kingdom. Since there are two key ways of thinking about an optimal horizon, we look at optimal horizons for both of these interpretations. In addition, to see whether our results are...

The world is in the midst of a major demographic transition. This paper examines the implications of such transition over the next 80 years for Japan, the United States, other industrial countries, and the developing regions of the world using a dynamic intertemporal general equilibrium...

This appendix provides further details on the data and the modeling strategy used in the chapter to analyze the global economic impact of demographic change (....).

Monetary Conditions Indices (MCIs) are weighted averages of changes in an interest rate and an exchange rate relative to their values in a base period. A few central banks calculate MCIs for use in monetary policy. Although the Bank of England does not calculate such an index, several...

We follow Fuhrer (2000) in estimating via Maximum Likelihood a log-linear consumption function on UK data. In doing so we consider various habit formation assumptions. We show that a model of purely “external” habits as in Fuhrer (2000) fits the UK data remarkably well, and possibly in a...