Asymptotic properties of the harmonic moment tail index Estimator are derived for distributions with regularly varying tails. The estimator shows good robustness properties and stands out for its simplicity. A tuning parameter allows for regulating the trade-off between robustness and...

We investigate the behavior of nonparametric kernel M-estimators in the presence of long-memory errors. The optimal bandwidth and a central limit theorem are obtained. It turns out that in the Gaussian case all kernel M-estimators have the same limiting normal distribution. The motivation behind...

Prediction in time series models with a trend requires reliable estimation of the trend function at the right end of the observed series. Local polynomial smoothing is a suitable tool because boundary corrections are included implicitly. However, outliers may lead to unreliable estimates, if...

Recent results on so-called SEMIFAR models introduced by Beran (1997) are discussed. The nonparametric deterministic trend is estimated by a kernel method. The differencing and fractional differencing parameters as well as the autoregressive coefficients are estimated by an approximate maximum...

We consider M-estimation of a location parameter for processes with zero autocorrelations but long-range dependence in volatility. The observed process is the product of i.i.d. Gaussian observations and a long-memory Gaussian process. For nonlinear estimators, the rate of convergence depends on...

We consider dependence structures in multivariate time series that are characterized by deterministic trends. Results from spectral analysis for stationary processes are extended to deterministic trend functions. A regression cross covariance and spectrum are defined. Estimation of these...

We consider location estimation when the error process is a stationary LARCH process with long memory in the second moments. The asymptotic distribution of the sample mean and nonlinear M-estimators of the location parameter are derived. Essential assumptions for obtaining asymptotic normality...