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Indian food and fuel inflation has remained high for several years, and second-round effects on core inflation are estimated to be large. This paper estimates the size of second-round effects using an estimated reduced-form general equilibrium model of the Indian economy, which incorporates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959475
analyzing commodity markets and prices and to solving price forecasting problems, concentrating on more recent advances in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929304
inflation rate, our results suggest that the PwC panel has some forecasting ability for time horizons from 3 to 9 months …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929567
Цель статьи заключается в прогнозировании тенденций текущего спроса местного рынка труда на основе метода статистических уравнений зависимостей и...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011216677
The yield curve shows how the yield on a government bond depends on the bond's maturity. Monetary policymakers and observers pay special attention to the shape of the yield curve as an indicator of the economic impact of current and future monetary policy. Without the proper analytical tools,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361068
expected in real-time situations. This fact is particularly relevant if a forecasting model's performance is to be compared …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361088
forecasting? ; The author first discusses the definition of turning points and describes different approaches to turning point … forecasting, along with their relative advantages and disadvantages. Next, the article assesses the performance of the Atlanta Fed … Bayesian vector autoregression (BVAR) model in terms of forecasting turning points relative to a well-known alternative, the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005361145
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005380452
Comparative analysis of economic structure and forecasts generated from simultaneous equation, VAR and autoregressive models based on quarterly series from 1966:1 to 2007:3 of UK to those from the stochastic general equilibrium models has provided insights into objective and subjective...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009352791
, are relevant to forecasting economic growth and stock returns, and whether they contain information that is orthogonal to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009647399