This article demonstrates how options on federal funds futures, which began trading in March 2003, can be used to recover the implied probability density function (PDF) for future Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) interest‐rate outcomes. The discrete nature of the choices made by the FOMC...

In this paper, we focus on the interconnectedness of banks and the price they pay for liquidity. We assess how the concentration of credit relationships and the position of a bank in the network topology of the system influence the bank’s ability to meet liquidity demand. We use quarterly data...

In this study we first estimate the volatility diffusion process of the underlying futures contracts that fit best daily observed American option prices. We then calculate for each day risk neutral densities for different points of time in the future by simulating these processes. To assess how...

In this paper, we focus on the interconnectedness of banks and the price they pay for liquidity. We assess how the concentration of credit relationships and the position of a bank in the network topology of the system influence the bank's ability to meet its liquidity demand. We use quarterly...

<title>Abstract</title><italic>We examine the rigidity of retail deposit and loan rates by applying duration analysis on uniquely rich data. We find that the retail rate dynamics are state-dependent. An important determinant of the duration of retail interest rates are the dynamics of the wholesale (market and...</italic>