Showing 1 - 10 of 9,193
each type of crises has a unique set of macroeconomic causes. We also identify internal contagion and selection bias …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005163004
Indicators of financial crisis generally do not have a good track record. This paper presents an early warning system for six countries in Asia, in which indicators do work.We distinguish three types of financial crises, currency crises, banking crises and debt crises, and extract four groups of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005119472
This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823
This paper studies German bank lending during the Asian and Russian crises, using a bank level data set from the Deutsche Bundesbank. Our aim is to gain more insight into the pattern of German bank lending during financial crises in emerging markets. We find that German banks reacted to the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005504386
The object of this study is to assess the role of trade structure and firms pricing behaviour in the transmission of currency shocks across geographically close countries. The analysis will focus on identifying and comparing the degree of vulnerability to currency shocks of Central Eastern...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005449515
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010942505
This paper provides a critical analysis of Kaminsky and Reinhart (1999) (KR), perhaps the most prominent empirical paper on causes of currency crises. After dealing with problems present in this paper, it proposes an aggregate leading indicator of crisis. The proposed indicator performs better...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005698264
The present paper investigates five episodes of currency collapse from the perspective of non-financial firms operating in Argentina, Brazil and Mexico. We focus on two aspects: wealth and income transfers from borrowing firms to lenders and firm heterogeneity. At the firm level, we find that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010574581
This paper develops a quantitative model of contagion of financial crisis and sovereign default for small open … explanation of the contagion of financial crises. The model shows that whenever a country suffers a domestic shock that forces it …, producing a contagion of the crisis in those countries whose fundamentals are not solid enough. Also, even when the crisis in a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009652932
doing so in the crisis period. The estimates suggest that for both the pre-crisis and crisis periods, contagion is generally …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010553109