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The paper examines the determinants of employment growth, drawing on data available across a sample of Caribbean countries. To that end, the paper analyzes estimates of the employment-output elasticity and the response of employment growth to major sources of labor market determinants, in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010800970
Portugal’s economy is in deep recession, and the crisis has opened up a large output gap, with severe consequences for employment and government revenue. While the focus is on the medium- and long-term, this analysis also offers insights on how deep the output gap is. It also highlights...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011242590
Remarks by President Dudley at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009251193
We conduct an accounting exercise of the role of worker flows between unemployment, employment, and labor force … nonparticipation in the dynamics of the aggregate unemployment rate across four recent recessions: 1982-1983, 1990-1991, 2001, and 2007 … employment and unemployment to account for the dynamics of the unemployment rate, this was not true in the Great Recession. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010723109
wage data do not support the rigidity necessary to generate the empirical volatility of unemployment in the standard search …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010724744
Remarks by President Dudley at the Quarterly Regional Economic Press Briefing, New York City.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010725017
During the last few decades, labor markets in advanced economies have become “polarized” as relative labor demand grows for high- and low-skill workers while it declines for middle-skill workers. This paper explores how polarization has interacted with the U.S. business cycle since the late...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011027059
Shimer (2012) accounts for the volatility of unemployment based on a model of homogeneous unemployment. Using data on … short-term unemployment he finds that most of unemployment volatility is accounted for by variations in the exit rate from … unemployment. The assumption of homogeneous exit rates is inconsistent with the observed negative duration dependence of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010593679
While maximum unemployment rates following the most recent economic recession are low by historical standards, the lack … of increase in payroll employment leads many to conclude that official unemployment rates understate current labor market … level of the current unemployment rate may not directly comparable with earlier periods, additional labor market evidence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005373299
where aggregate shocks have a permanent effect on the unemployment rate. If agents' wealth decreases, the unemployment rate … increases for a potentially indefinite period. This makes unemployment rate dynamics path dependent as in Blanchard and Summers … (1987). I argue that this feature explains the persistence of the unemployment rate in the U.S. after the Great Recession …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010790439