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We examine whether it is profitable to trade according to the recommendations of analysts who made accurate earnings forecasts in a prior year. Prior research has shown that analysts who made the most accurate earnings forecasts in the current period also made the most profitable recommendations...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009448225
Do informational advantages, reputation and experience lead to better earnings forecasts and stock recommendations? It is shown that for local Chinese securities firms both earnings forecasts and stock recommendations are, in general, biased upwards and financial markets view stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011043163
I provide evidence that analysts whose earnings forecast revisions showed signs of greater exaggeration in the past make recommendation changes that lead to lower abnormal returns than their peers. Interpreting stock recommendations as a forecast of future abnormal returns, I show that this...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005423906
This paper illustrates an approach to modelling judgement. Mathematically, derived sequential decision tree models of judgement are constructed using the Classification And Regression Tree (CART) algorithm developed by Breiman et al. (1984). This technique was selected because it attempts to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010769273
To what extent conflicts of interest affect the investment value of sell-side analyst research is an ongoing debate. We approach this issue from a new direction by investigating how asset-management divisions of investment banks use stock recommendations issued by their own analysts. Based on...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065741
The paper collects and classifies the properties of more than 4600 analysts reports on Italian listed stocks in order to assess their impact on market reactions. The paper innovates the most common approach in the literature which resort mainly on information available on commercial database,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008556851
Security analysts, analyst forecast and market reaction are anecdotal in restructuring transactions, sometime conflicting and some other time imperative to the process of transaction. This article attempts to highlight a consistent association between analyst, market reaction and corporate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005561639
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005722914
Using 1994–2009 data, we find that All-American (AA) analysts’ buy and sell portfolio alphas significantly exceed those of non-AAs by up to 0.6 % per month after risk-adjustments for investors with advance access to analyst recommendations. For investors without such access, top-rank AAs...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011154704
This paper empirically investigates the impact of both the first release of analysts' stock recommendations to a limited clientele and the subsequent dissemination of the same information in a major newspaper to a broader audience. For a sample of 1460 stock recommendations published in FuW,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009025042