This article presents global solutions to standard New Keynesian models with a zero lower bound (ZLB) constraint on the nominal interest rate. Rather than focus on specific sequences of shocks, we provide the solution for all combinations of technology and discount factor shocks and a thorough...

At a time when past rules of thumb seem inadequate, the author briefly reviews the connection between money and prices.

An argument for an institutional reform to lengthen the reserve- accounting period from one week to four weeks and to stagger the reserve-accounting periods among four groups of banks. Such staggered- reserve accounting would allow the Federal Reserve to set operating targets for total reserves.

If the central bank follows an interest rate rule, then inflation is likely to be persistent, even when prices are fully flexible. Any shock, whether persistent or not, may lead to inflation persistence. In equilibrium, the dynamics of inflation are determined by the evolution of the spread...

This paper documents changes in the cyclical behavior of nominal data series that appear after 1979:Q3 when the Federal Reserve implemented a policy to lower the inflation rate. Such changes were not apparent in real variables. A business cycle model with impulses to technology and a role for...

Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) projections are important because they provide information for evaluating current monetary policy intentions and because they indicate what FOMC members think will be the likely consequence of their policies. Knowing the Fed’s objectives, their forecasts,...

Politicians, market participants, and economists have argued about whether the increased trading induced by the growth of index funds over the past decade is a cause of high commodity prices.