In this paper we intend to identify and analyze, if it is the case, an “epidemiological” relationship between forecasts of professional investors and short-term developments in the EUR/RON exchange rate. Even that we don’t call a typical epidemiological model as those ones used in biology...

European public debt crisis led to a reversal of economic strategy for the policy makers. The lack of vision when choosing the budget deficit as an important factor in SGP has allowed a discretionary fiscal behavior for the member states. The budget deficit of the member states was strongly...

The concept of conditional probability is fundamental because econometrics regression models are probabilistic. Here, we consider the conditional probabilities to a certain vector, which would be possible to define more generally to the standard deviation ?.

The set of fiscal rules within the Euro area are based on the functionality of the automatic stabilizers as a main instrument of the fiscal stabilization. This non-discretionary approach should guarantee that the evolution of the current budget deficit is anti-cyclic and thus it should...

This paper deals with the problem of the public pension system’s sustainability in Romania and its impact upon the sustainability of the public finance. Thus, the public pension deficit increased in the last three years, caused by the unsustainable increase of pensions during expansionary...

Investment volume, even with strong economic crisis, domestic and international, has remained constant, with slight increases from one period to another, until 2008, when they triggered the crisis. Specific is that investment funds were directed to imports of machinery, ignoring the Romanian...

This paper evaluates the main effects of the implementation of tax flat system in Romanian economy. If accompanying measures are not going to be enforced, the introduction of the flat rate of 16% in Romania will lead to unsustainable budgetary deficits and inflationist pressures. The flat tax...

This paper analyses Romanian economy facing with European integration process at 2007. The Romanian economy advanced the development prudent macroeconomics policies and implement structural reforms in the market for goods, labor and financial products. We identify in this study the principal...

In this study we analyzed the trade, financial and structural asymmetries between the core and periphery of the Euro Area, and between these countries and seven CEE economies, respectively. The study includes an investigation of the trade, financial integration and sectoral specialization...

This paper provides arguments for the need to improve the fiscal rule proposed by the European Commission within the Fiscal Compact, considering the implementation of an augmented growth-based balance rule optimum for Romania. The first part of the paper presents the proposal for the...