Paper introduces the improved version of a credit scoring model which assesses credit worthiness of applicants for a loan. The scorecard has a two-level multilevel structure which nests applicants for a loan within microenvironments. Paper discusses several versions of the multilevel scorecards...

Natural disasters are also known as catastrophes with low frequency but high damages. Typhoons and floods are the major catastrophes which lead to gargantuan losses in Asia. Once a disaster occurs, a broad region will be affected and this will result in huge social loss. If issuers or...

The geometrical convergence of the Gibbs sampler for simulating a probability distribution inRdis proved. The distribution has a density which is a bounded perturbation of a log-concave function and satisfies some growth conditions. The analysis is based on a representation of the Gibbs sampler...

In this work we propose a model for the intensity of a space–time point process, specified by a sequence of spatial surfaces that evolve dynamically in time. This specification allows flexible structures for the components of the model, in order to handle temporal and spatial variations both...

This paper builds on Asai and McAleer (2009) and develops a new multivariate Dynamic Conditional Correlation (DCC) model where the parameters of the correlation dynamics and those of the log-volatility process are driven by two latent Markov chains. We outline a suitable Bayesian inference...

We propose and estimate a new class of equity return models that incorporate scale mixtures of the skew-normal distribution for the error distribution into the standard stochastic volatility framework. The main advantage of our models is that they can simultaneously accommodate the skewness,...

Personality, ability, trust, motivation and beliefs determine outcomes in life and in particular those of economic nature such as finding a job or earnings. A problem with this type of determinants is that they are not immanently objectively quantifiable and that there is no intrinsic scale -...