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Abstract A spatial model is used to specify and then test for the existence of contagion among emerging market … economies. We consider both trade and regional channels of contagion. Our results suggest that contagion is a statistically … results also suggest that trade links are significant channels of contagion transmission; on the other hand, geographic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004966860
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011245897
liquidity, but with potential costs of international financial contagion. An ILOLR can play a useful role in providing … international liquidity and reducing international contagion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248186
shocks (“monsoons”), or contagion from neighboring countries. Markov-switching models attribute speculative pressure on … Indonesia’s currency to domestic political and financial factors and contagion from speculative pressures in Thailand and Korea … probabilities improves the conditional probabilities of crisis in Indonesia. There is also evidence of contagion in the stock market. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005248271
This paper analyzes empirically the recent Asian financial crisis using high frequency data of exchange rates and stock indices of the Philippines and Thailand. Utilizing standard time-series techniques, this study confirms that there is evidence that developments in some sectoral...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263754
The Asian financial crisis of 1997-98 was one of the most dramatic economic events of recent times, which raised many questions regarding the appropriate policy response to financial crises. This paper reviews the experience of this crisis, focusing on the overall strategy of crisis management...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263845
This paper analyzes the behavior of output during currency crises using a sample of 195 crisis episodes in 91 developing countries during 1970-98. It finds that more than two-fifths of the crises in the sample were expansionary, and that output contraction was greater in large and more developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263977
-fulfilling crises were possible. Essay 3 studies financial contagion and develops a model of the international financial system. It uses … contagion. Essay 4 analyses the causes of financial crises in 31 emerging market countries in 1980–2001. A probit model is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008692076
This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823
A rapidly growing empirical literature is studying the causes and consequences of bank fragility in present-day economies. The paper reviews the two basic methodologies adopted in cross-country empirical studies-the signals approach and the multivariate probability model-and their application to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826068