[eng] This paper examines, from a theoretical standpoint, how uncertainty affects the choice between a federal monetary policy based on national data and a policy based on union-wide aggregated data in a monetary union with asymmetrical monetary-policy transmission. We find that when additive...

We test the hypothesis that the government bond markets in the Eurozone are more fragile and more susceptible to self-fulfilling liquidity crises than in stand-alone countries. We find evidence that a significant part of the surge in the spreads of the PIGS countries in the Eurozone during...

In this paper we extend the behavioral macroeconomic model as proposed by De Grauwe (2012) to include a banking sector. The behavioral model takes the view that agents have limited cognitive limitations. As a result, it is rational to use simple forecasting rules and to subject the use of these...

We analyze the similarities and the differences in the fragility of the European Monetary system (EMS) and the Eurozone. We test the hypothesis that in the EMS the fragility arose from the absence of a credible lender of last resort in the foreign exchange markets while in the Eurozone it was...

In this paper we provide empirical evidence documenting the nature of the Eurozone’s fragility. We find that during periods of turmoil, financial markets have tended to impose strong programs of austerity on member countries of the Eurozone. This confirms the evidence we found in a previous...

[fre] Une approche bilatérale des réalignements au sein du Mécanisme de change européen . (mars 1979 - décembre 1992) par Jean-Sébastien Pentecôte et Marc- Alexandre Sénégas . Dans cet article, nous présentons un modèle de réalignement du cours de change dans une zone cible...

In this article we analyse how the enlargement of a monetary union may affect the design of the common monetary policy when the latter transmits asymmetrically between the member countries. We find that the use of national information about inflation and unemployment in the design of the common...